PDA

View Full Version : 50NL TPTK vs raise all in on dry flop


BoozeHound
01-10-2007, 10:21 PM
villain is new to the table

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $63.65
Hero: $60.40
CO: $23.70
Button: $52.65
SB: $49.50
BB: $27.80

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif A/images/graemlins/club.gif
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO calls, 2 folds, BB calls.

Flop: 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/club.gif 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($6.25, 3 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3.5</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises all-in $21.7</font>, BB folds, Hero...?

LeapFrog
01-10-2007, 10:36 PM
Hmm... with no reads on the guy I would drop it. J10 is all you beat unless he is cracking out.

Shaddux
01-10-2007, 10:47 PM
Bet more on the flop. If he's new to the table and sitting down with $24, he's probably donkish enough to play a lower Q this way too, so I might call.

Dan Bitel
01-10-2007, 10:57 PM
call.

no way am i folding TPTK vs a half stack

LeapFrog
01-10-2007, 10:59 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Bet more on the flop. If he's new to the table and sitting down with $24, he's probably donkish enough to play a lower Q this way too, so I might call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Lately I've been giving short stacks more respect then I had in the past, perhaps I'm getting a bit gun shy. Pot odds wise if my math is on we need to be right about 40% of the time I think. This isn't taking in to account our chance of drawing out though, how much extra % to we give ourselves? Most of the range that beats us leaves us drawing to runner runner or like 3-5 outs. %5 or so? Anyone more experienced want to chime in?