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View Full Version : Odds of my Aces getting busted?


prestonian
02-06-2006, 09:17 AM
When i go all in with AA what are my odds of NOT winning the showdown??

IE.. what are the odds of someone getting these from preflop:

Straight
Flush
Trips
2 pair


I am sick of getting my aces busted in this manner, especially on the river. I have lost loads recently where someone has caught 2 pair to bust me. I just wondered if anyone knew the odds from pre flop?

DoomSlice
02-06-2006, 11:36 AM
Against one player, aces should win approximately 85% of the time.

Edit: the worst shape you'll ever be in is against 56s of a suit you don't have, in which you'll win ~78% of the time.

AaronBrown
02-06-2006, 11:48 AM
The table below gives your probability of winning with AA for different table sizes, if everyone stays in until showdown. If it is a tight game and you bet heavily on your A's, your chance of winning is much greater because many hands that would have won eventually will have folded. Of course, your wins will be smaller in that case as well. If it is a loose game and you slowplay it, your chance of winning is closer to the values given.

2 85.3%
3 73.4%
4 63.9%
5 55.9%
6 49.2%
7 43.6%
8 38.8%
9 34.7%
10 31.1%