NL25: Missing River Value Bets

[Route66]

I think I am mis-applying the "induce a bluff" concept on the river. Whenever there is a 2-flush on the flop and someone calls my flop and turn bets, I automatically assume they are on a flush draw, and when I'm OOP I'll check the river to induce a bluff when the flush doesn't hit. But more often than not villain checks behind with a 2nd best made hand, as in this hand:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($45.55)
BB ($31.30)
UTG ($25.65)
UTG+1 ($24.75)
MP1 ($59.90)
MP2 ($35.35)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($24.95)</font>
CO ($24.75)
<font color="#C00000">Button ($14.40)</font>

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls $0.25, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($1.25) T/images/graemlins/club.gif, 6/images/graemlins/club.gif, Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1</font>, Button calls $1, SB folds, BB folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: ($3.25) 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.75</font>, Button calls $1.75.

River: ($6.75) 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, Button checks.

Final Pot: $6.75

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has Kh Qc (two pair, queens and sixes).
Button has Jh Td (two pair, tens and sixes).
Outcome: Hero wins $6.75. </font>


What is a good read for when to induce a bluff?

Thanks.

[sawedust]

I believe at NL25 it's important to bet out for value because your opponents at this level most likely won't be thinking along the same lines you are.

[CrustyFace]

Try and induce a bluff when you think he has something he won't lay down or has missed a draw. You must have something strong though.

An example would be if you flop a middle set on a safe board with 1 high card and it appears he has TPTK and is the kind of player that won't let go.

Here you just want to value bet.

[Prodigy54321]

I'm new to this game, but I would have guess that this would be a great spot to check/call...

there are many possible hands that the oppoenent can have...if he has a worse Q or a T, we lose out on a value bet..(although some random villains will put and bet in if checked to here with a worse Q and maybe even once in a while with a T)..

if he has a 6 (unlikely, but possible IMO), we might save a little money..

there are many flush draws and straight draws out there that have all missed...

again, I'm new to $25NL 6max, but I really think that a check to induce a bluff is the best play here..althought he had a hand that it wasn't bet for..on average, I think it is most profitable

[DaAznFella]

Either check the turn or bet bigger, when he calls the half-pot bet u still don't really know if he has a made hand or a draw. If the turn goes check/check you can value bet the river b/c he won't give u credit for a hand. As played, i like a check/call

[KEW]

I prefer a raise w/KQ from MP3..At FR limping may be fine tho..As played either check turn or bet closer to the size of the pot..As played I like checking the river..I can not see getting 3 streets of value out of TP2K w/o a good read on villain..