NL 25: AK - TPTK faces minraise on the Turn

[Dr_Mabuse101]

Villain is 61/0/0,2 over 70 Hands.
I have him seen almost limp in and than calling a raise. Calling PSB with middle pair also.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $4.40
UTG+1: $23.60
Hero: $50.65
Button: $30.40
SB: $8.75
BB: $18.65

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $1</font>, 2 folds, BB calls.

Flop: A/images/graemlins/club.gif T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($2.1, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $1.5</font>, BB calls.

Turn: J/images/graemlins/club.gif ($5.1, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $4</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $8</font>, <font color="#cc0000">. Hero ?

[Javanewt]

I'd callt he minraise and re-evaluate on river. Villain probably has two pair, and you have a few outs. If he has a set, you're probably in trouble. If he checks to you again on the river, I'd check behind.

[Wolfram]

[ QUOTE ]
Villain is 61/0/0,2

[/ QUOTE ]
Jesus, Mary and Joseph! Those are some lose/weak donkey stats!

I think you are always beat, and you just have to figure out if you're getting a good enough price to call. You're getting 4.275:1 from the pot. If he has 2 pair with an ace you're drawing to 7 outs, so that's 6.57:1. That means you have to make up $9 on the river to make your call break even. If he has any other 2 pair then you are in better shape and can call. If, however he has a set, you're drawing to 3 outs and can't call. And if he already has the straight then you are drawing to 2 outs to only tie.

The problem is what happens if you call, hit an A or K and he bets $4 again. Do you raise? What then if he pushes? Now you're in an awful reverse implied odds situation.

I say fold.

[derosnec]

So many hands are beating you: AJ, AT, A2, KQ, JJ, TT, 22, and JT. I doubt a guy with his stats is raising the turn on a flush/straight draw: possible but not likely.

Given that you raised pf, he has to give you some credit for AK, yet he raises you anyway.

I fold, though in real life I find myself calling this alot, which is a leak of mine.

[higher_energy]

bet more on flop
vs this villain you can re raise or call and than callnon-club river

[Jigsaws]

Fold it up. Standard Baluga Theorem.