25NL Set with a hard river decision

[dodgybob]

Villain is 27/2.4 with a W$SD of 66.7% over about 100 hands. Also has a high river aggression factor, much higher than flop/turn agg.

Please ignore play up until the river, I know I should have either reraised flop or turn. Is this river a call or a fold as played and why?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

CO ($43.30)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($25)</font>
SB ($16.80)
<font color="#C00000">BB ($24.80)</font>
UTG ($12.90)
MP ($23.75)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $0.75.

Flop: ($2.10) 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $2.75</font>, Hero calls $1.75.

Turn: ($7.60) 4/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $3.75</font>, Hero calls $3.75.

River: ($15.10) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $17.3 (All-In)</font>, Hero calls $17.30.

Final Pot: $49.70

[Genz]

I call, but I expect to see a 6 here often. You say, he is most aggressiv on the river, so I hope he doesn't check/raise me with a gutshotstraightdraw on the flop. I don't think his stats say that he is loose enough to play hands like 64 against a raise. I think you can see 88+ here very often.

[Jouster777]

[ QUOTE ]
I call...I think you can see 88+ here very often.

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't expect to see a 6 here often but it can happen. 64s usually gets folded preflop. The flop c/r would be strange with 66/67s but not impossible...with A6s/56s - no.

I call hoping to see 33/55/88+.

[CobraGoat]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


I call hoping to see 33/55/88+.

[/ QUOTE ]

easy call. i think AK is also a possibility as is a complete bluff.

[jonyy6788]

I instacall this....most people in the micros c/r flop with the stupidest hands (like a small overpair), which is pointless. You're only called by hands that kill you. The typical 27/2 villain will play any suited rag connectors/gap connectors in ANY position. It's possible he has a straight or 2 pair.

His bet on the river screams "please fold, I'm so [censored] if you call" Unless you have a read that he overbets the nuts, I call.

[Jigsaws]

FFS 3bet flop. I know you said to ignore it, but not 3betting on this board is just plain bad.

[higher_energy]

re raise flop
raise turn
as played call river...

[AJGibson]

It should never have got to a difficult river decision, with such a strong hand you need to make big value bets early on and raise if you get a chance. Your flop bet is too small, you need to build the pot as quickly as possible and not taking an oppourtunity to raise is pretty bad.

[Sweir]

PF looks ok.
Im betting more on the flop and then re-raising his $2.75.
I am also raising turn.
As played I would call the river.

[mack848]

[ QUOTE ]
Also has a high river aggression factor, much higher than flop/turn agg.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would completely ignore this fact with only 100 hands on him.

I call the river, but think it is very close to a fold.

[Wolfram]

[ QUOTE ]
re raise flop
raise turn
as played call river...

[/ QUOTE ]