PDA

View Full Version : Pontoon - Probability of this?


titans01
02-03-2006, 11:04 AM
I'm curious as to what the probability of losing 380 GBP playing Pontoon is? I started my monthly crypto casinos last night. I flat bet 5 GBP/ hand and use the chart on wizardsofodds. On UKBetting, I wagered 350GBP and went broke. Lost 140GBP. On TotalBet, I wagered my 500GBP and lost 145GBP. On Will Hill, I wagered 445G and lost 95GBP. So all told, I wagered 1295GBP and lost 380GBP. Can someone show me the math on the probability of this? Thanks.

ColdCaller
02-03-2006, 11:12 AM
Post in, uh, Probability, not here.

Pontoon is extremely high-variance, FWIW.

KSOT
02-03-2006, 11:48 AM
I had a similar month in January. It blew, but it taught me to go back to flat-betting 1 every time no matter what. You're trying to clear a bonus here, not hit big gambling. Put in your time and grind these bonuses out like a true whore. You'll never lose 380 GBP again.

By the way, just in case you didn't already know, Pontoon is the devils game.

usmfan
02-03-2006, 01:25 PM
As stated, Pontoon is the love child of Satan and variance. Of course long term EV is the same, but betting 5GBP/hand is begging to get kicked in the balls by variance. If I remember correctly, Intercasino is the only one that has a minimum higher than 1 currency unit. They require $5/hand. I only switch to higher than minimum I get the upside of variance and get itchy to finish up. Grind it out at the tale minimum. And, oh yeah, Pontoon was created by the devil when he was having a bad day.

vulturesrow
02-03-2006, 02:33 PM
Pontoon is definitely the devil. Least favorite rule: dealer wins all ties.

thing85
02-03-2006, 02:40 PM
On the good side, 5 card tricks are awesome, as well as being able to double down at any point in the hand. And Pontoon/5 Card trick pays 2:1. Variance may be high on this game, but it's a fun break from blackjack and if I remember correctly, it has a higher EV.

vulturesrow
02-03-2006, 02:44 PM
5 card trick is nice, except when the dealer hits one two..after youve doubled /images/graemlins/mad.gif

VinnyTheFish
02-03-2006, 03:02 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Pontoon is definitely the devil. Least favorite rule:
<font color="blue"> dealer wins all ties. </font>

[/ QUOTE ]

Included my Pontoon vs. his Pontoon! The devil is a badddd man!

titans01
02-03-2006, 03:21 PM
[ QUOTE ]
5 card trick is nice, except when the dealer hits one two..after youve doubled /images/graemlins/mad.gif

[/ QUOTE ]
This happened twice last night to me.

BigDave
02-03-2006, 03:36 PM
Least Favorite Rule: Dealer must deal player seven straight 14's during some point in the session.

PoorLawyer
02-03-2006, 05:05 PM
you should just stop betting when you blow through the bonus and try again next month so you dont lose anything.

titans01
02-03-2006, 06:11 PM
[ QUOTE ]
you should just stop betting when you blow through the bonus and try again next month so you dont lose anything.

[/ QUOTE ]
On UKBetting and TotalBet you aren't using their bonus money. They only credit you after you have wagered 40GBP.