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View Full Version : Is this +EV?


riske
12-01-2006, 10:53 AM
Villain isn't totally bad, but not THAT good either. I figured he had any PP and just wanted to get AI no matter what flopped. Given the range I put him on, is a call +EV?

Full Tilt Poker Game #1329296658: Table Zola (6 max) - $0.10/$0.25 - No Limit Hold'em - 11:38:00 ET - 2006/11/30
Seat 1: Hunter7583 ($18.50)
Seat 2: willyboy122 ($3.50)
Seat 3: deecedeece ($30.45)
Seat 4: matthew1133 ($8.20)
Seat 5: risuke ($36.80)
Seat 6: SweetMoses ($4.65)
matthew1133 posts the small blind of $0.10
risuke posts the big blind of $0.25
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to risuke [Ad Qd]
SweetMoses calls $0.25
Hunter7583 folds
willyboy122 folds
deecedeece folds
matthew1133 raises to $1
risuke calls $0.75
SweetMoses calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [Td Ts 6d]
matthew1133 bets $7.20, and is all in
risuke...?

Antinome
12-01-2006, 10:56 AM
You have someone acting after you.

While you probably have a microscopic edge, let it go.

Heads up, I gambool.

You're No Daisy
12-01-2006, 11:12 AM
It's a pretty easy fold for me. You're risking your entire stack on a draw that can be beat by too many hands like AA-JJ and AT-JT if you don't hit a flush. You are drawing dead to TT but I think you can rule that out since that would be the nuts and should be slow played in the hopes of you hitting your flush. Also, you're not even getting 2:1 on your money or the pot odds to call for that matter. You have to ask yourself, what hands would villain raise with preflop and then why is he pushing? Most likely pushing to blow out anyone on a draw. If he has a middle pocket pair like 99-77 does your read on villain tell you he'd push with those hands on this board? Bottom line, I'm looking for a reason to fold here.

AC

riske
12-01-2006, 11:21 AM
It isn't my entire stack, it's more like one third of it, but I guess it's still leaning more towards fold than call?

Edit: Thanks for a very nice reply /images/graemlins/smile.gif

You're No Daisy
12-01-2006, 11:24 AM
Whoops...I'm sorry. I wasn't paying attention. You obviously had him outchipped.

AC

ama0330
12-01-2006, 11:43 AM
Fold. I want to get my money in better than this.