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View Full Version : 50 NL short - Overpair on dry board, min-raised on flop


YKMM
11-09-2006, 11:17 AM
Villain is 37/0/2.0 in 27 hands. No other reads. Shove on the flop or call to re-evaluate on the turn?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $54.35
Hero: $54.50
CO: $45
Button: $24.55
SB: $79.65
BB: $33.60

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with J/images/graemlins/club.gif J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO calls, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/spade.gif ($8.25, 4 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $7</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $14</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero .....</font>

Pavan
11-09-2006, 11:23 AM
This has to be a set or 2 pair. I would not push this flop. I would call and check/fold unimproved

YKMM
11-09-2006, 11:43 AM
Anybody else? What confuses me is that most players at these limits seem to just smooth-call with a set here.

pdoran10
11-09-2006, 11:44 AM
set. Only a slight possiblilty he has a 78. Call his minraise only if u think ur getting the right odds to hit a 2 outter and stack.

Board is too dry to be much else than a set here.
He wouldn't raise to 1/3 his stack without a very good hand here unless hes a LAGadonk.

machine
11-09-2006, 11:45 AM
i would C/F also this is very slim most likely a higher card than 9 will fall and if you check and villan pushes he wasnt scared of it and probably has 2 pair

Sir Winalot
11-09-2006, 11:46 AM
[ QUOTE ]
This has to be a set or 2 pair. I would not push this flop. I would call and check/fold unimproved

[/ QUOTE ]
Call, c/f UI is the worst line you can take here, FYI we have exactly 2 outs to improve. The decision has to be done here, and it's either push or fold. I'd probably fold.

machine
11-09-2006, 11:49 AM
this may be A9 or 1010 your losing value against those hands and on the turn villan may check behind. No?

pdoran10
11-09-2006, 11:53 AM
dont think many villans raise here with 1010, or A9. flop raise, especially min raise means two pair or better a lot, especially when villan is committing a decent portion of his stack to make this raise.

machine
11-09-2006, 11:54 AM
min raise can be scared raises to and alot of villans dont take stack sizes into account

Sir Winalot
11-09-2006, 11:59 AM
[ QUOTE ]
alot of villans dont take stack sizes into account

[/ QUOTE ]
At this level only 2p2ers, and not all of even them (cough!). Even if we would be loosing value from TT/A9 we're still saving our money from AA-QQ/sets/2pair etc.