Kings, an ugly board, and a tight villian [Archive]

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h0ser

11-01-2006, 10:42 PM

Villian was 17/6/2.5 over 64 hands and I hand't seen him showdown much. I'm not exactly disguising my hand here and I can't see him thinking he can bluff me off this pot. Calling him down seems -EV. Do you agree?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool (http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php) from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($50)
CO ($30)
Button ($18.95)
Hero ($48.25)
BB ($53.05)
UTG ($63.45)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, K/images/graemlins/club.gif. CO posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, CO (poster) checks, Button calls $0.50, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2.50, UTG folds, CO folds, Button folds.

Flop: ($7.50) T/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BB calls $5.

Turn: ($17.50) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $12, Hero ???

wake_up

11-01-2006, 10:48 PM

You're probably beat.

pokerchap

11-01-2006, 10:52 PM

yeah, just lay it down.

svidrigailov

11-01-2006, 11:03 PM

I'd be inclined to fold here since, like you said, your hand is what it looks like and BB should realize this.

Does the situation change with K/images/graemlins/spade.gif btw?

Carmine

11-01-2006, 11:10 PM

The only hands you fear here are AA/TT/AsKs. A total of 10 combinations. I also think AA would have re-raised PF so I'm discounting that hand.

When you show weakness on the turn I would think he is going to put you on overcards.

I don't see how you can lay this hand down. Be warned however. I'm just a limit player here for the education. I don't think I would have ever checked the turn either.

wake_up

11-01-2006, 11:12 PM

AsQs? AsJs? KsQs? 77?
I don't think you can completely rule out naked trips either.

Carmine

11-01-2006, 11:35 PM

[ QUOTE ]
AsQs? AsJs? KsQs? 77?
I don't think you can completely rule out naked trips either.

[/ QUOTE ]

I thought you TAG guys don't call PF with those hands OOP??

wake_up

11-01-2006, 11:42 PM

I don't think the average donk at this level is too worried about calling with marginal hands oop.

Big Poppa Smurf

11-02-2006, 12:08 AM

I can definitely see JTs or AT or something playing this way, maybe 88-99.

So I'd either check/call the turn and fold if he fires on the river again, or just bet/fold the turn.

Also it looks like I agree with Carmine, but I'm still adjusting to nl.