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View Full Version : Time to cry and let go (set. River decision)

Vammakala
10-22-2006, 05:45 PM
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter (http://www.pokerhand.org)

CO ($31.10)
Hero ($77.20)
SB ($39.65)
BB ($10.95)
UTG ($28.20)
MP ($137.90)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $0.50, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.25</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $1.75.

Flop: ($5.25) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.75</font>, CO calls $3.75.

Turn: ($12.75) 9/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7.75</font>, CO calls $7.75.

River: ($28.25) Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">CO bets $17.35 (All-In)</font>, Hero ???

Villain is 58/8/0.5 and went to SD 25%, won at SD 20% over 84 hands. Would he do this without the ten?
Shaddux
10-22-2006, 05:47 PM
Horrible river card. I guess you have to let this one go.

Bet more on the turn though.
Art Vandalay
10-22-2006, 05:50 PM
The 0.5 aggro factor is bad news, even over only 84 hands. I think he's got a T too often to make this +ev.
xwillience
10-22-2006, 05:51 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Horrible river card. I guess you have to let this one go.

Bet more on the turn though.

[/ QUOTE ]
Vammakala
10-22-2006, 06:14 PM
Mommy told me there are no scarecards... but there are.
pokerchap
10-22-2006, 08:34 PM
time to cry and let go . . .
GtrHtr
10-22-2006, 08:36 PM
Pf good, I'd bet more on the flop and a lot more on the turn. River meh.
Vammakala
10-22-2006, 09:53 PM
I cried, died a bit inside and called to see AT.

Btw. I was thinking about this - in terms of EV, calling isn't HORRIBLE. He CAN have KQ, other set or bluff part of the time. Even if he doesn't, he had 2.5-to-1 on turn. With river implied odds if you ALWAYS call, 4.5-to-1 or so. For gutshot, he needs (4 outs) around 11-to-1.

If he was deeper, I would've folded.
hanster
10-22-2006, 10:13 PM
a. pot the turn
b. fold. you only beat AK