50nl k8s river decision

[george w]

no read.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter (http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter)

Stack sizes:
UTG: $33.50
UTG+1: $152.45
Hero: $50.45
Button: $65.65
SB: $27.35
BB: $17.50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with K/images/graemlins/club.gif 8/images/graemlins/club.gif
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif ($5.75, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $4</font>, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: 2/images/graemlins/club.gif ($13.75, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: 5/images/graemlins/club.gif ($29.75, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $11</font>.

[carnivalhobo]

fold, and im not sure i like the turn bet.

[theUltimateHero]

wow... your play isnt bad if you're that laggy but his range is SO huge right now... busted spades, 78, 67, 97, 89, 77, any pp, air. but i think a fold is best here...

[george w]

it seems really close getting 4:1. i mean when it came up i iddn't think instafold. i feel like he would bet a bit more than this with a 7. it looks like a block or a value bet to me and i could be ahead of some of these hands and getting bluffed out here hurts really bad.

[jaffa]

I don't mind the turn bet. But i definitely think the river is a fold. I don't really see him betting with a busted draw here that often. Not in my experience of NL50 anyway, though i may be wrong.

[theUltimateHero]

i might call river just because ive seen people play back on the river hoping you were just betting with AK/AQ the entire time and can fold to a river bet with just high cards... but i still think i lose this more often than not

[george w]

i think it's a call now but it's hard for me to be objective. i only have to be ahead 20%. 15% seems like a clear call.

[Xanta]

Grunch
I like preflop and flop, mabye bet more on flop because the board is extremely draw heavy.

The turn bet looks a bit wierd; I'm not sure what you we're intending with it. It's under 2/3 of the pot, so the villain probably will call correctly with a decent draw.
Do we fold to a turn checkraise? I really don't know what we should be considering here.

As played, the river is a pretty clear fold.
UTG limped pf and then called your raise, called on the flop, called on the turn, then all of a sudden woke up on the river when the 5 hit. The only way I see you being ahead here is if villain is bluffing a busted flush draw when the 5 hits, but even then any 9xs beats you.

[orange]

Fold, I would typically check the turn and pick off a smallish river bet.

[pokerchap]

imo, easy fold. are you sure about that turn bet?