NL50: Rivered flush on paired board [Archive]

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redCashion

10-18-2006, 04:21 PM

Stats on the guy are 11/3/5 over only 25 hands, no reads. The check flop anhd then later action screamed A to me, but the question was one of kicker. I think given his late position min-raise he could be sitting on any kicker. Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com (http://www.internettexasholdem.com)

SB ($47.15)
Hero ($38.50)
UTG ($46.10)
MP ($88)
CO ($56.30)
Button ($49.75)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 6/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
2 folds, CO raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50.

Flop: ($2.25) A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: ($2.25) 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $1.5, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $1.50.

River: ($8.25) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $5.5, CO raises to $52.3, Hero?

Dave I

10-18-2006, 04:31 PM

The only thing your beating is AJ/AT/JJ and air. I just don't see how you can call this profitably. AK/AQ/QQ/KK/99 are strong possible holdings. Hell, even A9 beats you. Although 25 hands really dont tell us for sure.

redCashion

10-18-2006, 04:36 PM

There's no chance he is floating Ax here? Obviously AK/AJ/A9 were all problem hands, but I gave that a strong possibility given the weakness of the late position raise preflop, which could easily be a steal attempt with garbage.

The only other hand listed I put him on was possibly 99, but I would think he would raise harder on the turn hoping I had an ace.

Dave I

10-18-2006, 04:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
There's no chance he is floating Ax here? Obviously AK/AJ/A9 were all problem hands, but I gave that a strong possibility given the weakness of the late position raise preflop, which could easily be a steal attempt with garbage.

The only other hand listed I put him on was possibly 99, but I would think he would raise harder on the turn hoping I had an ace.

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course there is. His stats over 25 hands isn't a lot but it's still an indicator leaning towards him not being on a naked A. 10/J /images/graemlins/diamond.gif is even a possible holding that beats us. Basically, anyone doing this without a boat or a better flush is a total moran and we just don't have that read yet.

redCashion

10-18-2006, 05:01 PM

Good points Dave, thanks.