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View Full Version : EV of "aces cracked" promotion?


Milo
01-29-2006, 09:57 PM
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.

My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).

Sound about right?

MrX
01-29-2006, 10:02 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.

My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).

Sound about right?

[/ QUOTE ]

worth 1.5-2 times more, you will not win 80% of the time with AA in loose B&M games in multiway pots.

X

Milo
01-29-2006, 10:58 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.

My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).

Sound about right?

[/ QUOTE ]

worth 1.5-2 times more, you will not win 80% of the time with AA in loose B&M games in multiway pots.

X

[/ QUOTE ]

Makes sense.

addickt
01-30-2006, 05:34 AM
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped

PokerEveryDay
01-30-2006, 12:41 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped

[/ QUOTE ]

You played over 1800 hands today?

addickt
01-30-2006, 12:54 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped

[/ QUOTE ]

You played over 1800 hands today?

[/ QUOTE ]

2147 hands