View Full Version : EV of "aces cracked" promotion?
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.
My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).
Sound about right?
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.
My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).
Sound about right?
[/ QUOTE ]
worth 1.5-2 times more, you will not win 80% of the time with AA in loose B&M games in multiway pots.
X
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming one wins 80% of the time with aces, gets 35 hands an hour and is dealt aces 1/221 deals, that means "winning" an extra $75 every 1000 hands or so.
My admittedly poor understanding of probability suggests that this promotion is worth ~$2.50/hour (with a bit more gained by players calling down with losing aces, and some unknown amount more from bad players who come out to win some promo money).
Sound about right?
[/ QUOTE ]
worth 1.5-2 times more, you will not win 80% of the time with AA in loose B&M games in multiway pots.
X
[/ QUOTE ]
Makes sense.
addickt
01-30-2006, 05:34 AM
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped
PokerEveryDay
01-30-2006, 12:41 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped
[/ QUOTE ]
You played over 1800 hands today?
addickt
01-30-2006, 12:54 PM
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I went 0-9 with AA today.. that woulda helped
[/ QUOTE ]
You played over 1800 hands today?
[/ QUOTE ]
2147 hands
vBulletin® v3.8.11, Copyright ©2000-2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.