fanmail
10-01-2006, 11:46 AM
Do not read into this as truth please. I just base this information on what I have read over the past few weeks/months on here and elsewhere. Just my humble opinion on some likely scenarios.
1) Status Quo - Law passed, not strictly enforced by banks, sites keep US players. Or some part of the legislation is repealed keeping poker as we know it going. (10% likelihood)
2) Bank Compliance - Banks do not allow deposit transactions to certain sites, e-wallets, etc. Sites want to keep US player income, so a new method/s are introduced. Some of the American player base is reduced, but games go on for US players. (45%)
3) Compliance - Not only are deposits stopped by banks, but the sites do not allow the deposits either. Those with money onine can continue to play. However, when players go busto or withdrawal their funds, gametime is over. This will cause a huge decline in US player base and online fish over a pretty short time span. Games will go on, but will be much worse. (30%)
4) US online play ends - Everything in scenario 3 + sites decide that it is in their best interest to cut ties with American players. They pursue Europe/Asia moreso. US players can withdraw funds, but online poker is dunzo for them. (15%)
1) Status Quo - Law passed, not strictly enforced by banks, sites keep US players. Or some part of the legislation is repealed keeping poker as we know it going. (10% likelihood)
2) Bank Compliance - Banks do not allow deposit transactions to certain sites, e-wallets, etc. Sites want to keep US player income, so a new method/s are introduced. Some of the American player base is reduced, but games go on for US players. (45%)
3) Compliance - Not only are deposits stopped by banks, but the sites do not allow the deposits either. Those with money onine can continue to play. However, when players go busto or withdrawal their funds, gametime is over. This will cause a huge decline in US player base and online fish over a pretty short time span. Games will go on, but will be much worse. (30%)
4) US online play ends - Everything in scenario 3 + sites decide that it is in their best interest to cut ties with American players. They pursue Europe/Asia moreso. US players can withdraw funds, but online poker is dunzo for them. (15%)