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View Full Version : blackjack bonus: +EV to cash out early after heater?


thedustbustr
01-01-2006, 07:10 PM
I'm whoring Starluck right now. I've wagered $330 out of $1600 to clear a $100 bonus. Bonus EV is $100 - .005*$1600 = $92. I just rode a heater, up $90 from my deposit. I'm up $90 by cashing out right now, and my expected EV from clearing the rest of the bonus is up $92. So, to maximize EV from this bonus, I should cash out right now, right? The $2 difference can be attributed to the time saved.

However, a counter-thought would be that since bankroll is updated continuusly, my new EV for completing the promotion is $90 + $100-.005*$1270 = $183.65, so cashing out now is clearly incorrect.

Which logic is correct?

Apocalypso
01-01-2006, 07:31 PM
The second one

Ron Burgundy
01-02-2006, 02:36 AM
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The second one

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