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NoChance
01-19-2006, 03:02 PM
Link (http://www.prweb.com/releases/2006/1/prweb334806.htm)


NFL Championship Games Edition Of The Pinnacle Pulse -- The Inside Betting Line From PinnacleSports.com

Leading online sportsbook gives bettors insight into betting line movement on AFC & NFC championship games.

(PRWEB) January 19, 2006 -- Officiating can be a factor that makes handicapping games that much more difficult and last weekend witnessed some very questionable NFL officiating. No matter how much time you spend analyzing a match-up, a judgment call can determine who wins and who loses. Losing bettors and fans remember these calls for a very long time…

The officiating last weekend was so bad that the NFL admitted making a mistake when Troy Polamalu’s diving interception in the fourth quarter was overturned. Fortunately, that mistake had no effect on the overall outcome of the game. However, for those players that bet on the second half, it was a different story.

After the interception reversal, the Colts scored a TD followed by a 2-point conversion on the drive. Without that score in the second half, Indianapolis -7.5 wouldn’t have covered.

Let’s hope things are better this weekend as the season comes to a climax. Although these are the biggest games of the year, it’s wise to stay focused on money management and resist the temptation to bet more online. There’s always a temptation to increase your online wagers but from a handicapper’s perspective, these games should be treated no differently than any other game.

If you find props or other Internet bets you like, spread your money out as you normally would, but don’t put it all on one bet. Too many factors can go wrong in one game to justify overextending yourself by betting bigger wagers -- like bad officiating calls.

It’s also important to remember that there’s a limited time between games when all the viewers of the AFC title game run to their computers to get action on the NFC title game. It’s normally just a 15-minute period that’s traditionally the busiest of the year for online sports books.

From past experience, many online sportsbooks won’t be able to handle this surge in traffic on their Web servers. Sites may be slow or even down altogether as servers buckle under the load. If you want to get action on the NFC title game at a sports book other than Pinnacle Sportsbetting, consider making your plays well before the Pittsburgh-Denver game ends.

If you fail to get your bets in before the kick off in Seattle, you still have another option -- live Internet betting at Pinnacle Sports. The Pinnacle Sports book is known for outstanding value on sides and totals, and the live Pinnacle Sportsbook betting lines are no different. For in-running Internet betting throughout the game, we use a -108 style pricing model, which is better value than the standard odds offered by other sportsbooks even before the game kicks off.

If you’re an early bird you can benefit even more the reduced margin online wagering lines at Pinnacle Sports betting, which uses a -104 pricing model that gives bettors up to 60% better value on NFL sides than other bookmakers. If you haven’t placed your online wagers yet, you might want to consider who the sharps and public like this weekend:

Pittsburgh (+3 +106) at Denver O/U 41

The Steelers have impressed, winning two straight road playoff games over the Bengals and the Colts. Pittsburgh has made it this far by utilizing a strategy similar to Denver’s -- running the ball and defending the run first.

Featuring the run has helped both Denver and Pittsburgh reduce turnovers, while their rush defense has given both teams more opportunities to pressure opposing teams’ quarterbacks.

We’ve seen heavy volume on this game after opening the spread with the Steelers at +3 (-116). The public clearly favors the Steelers, placing five bets on Pittsburgh for every two on the Broncos. The sharps are also betting this game, but they’re split on the game.

After opening the total at 42.5 we have seen a classic, sharp versus public duel. The sharps are mostly on the under, while a majority of the bets placed have been on the over. As is often the case, the wise guys have been placing bigger wagers and despite the larger bet count on the over from the public, sharp action has forced the total down to 41.

Carolina (+3.5 -102) at Seattle O/U 43.5

Carolina and Pittsburgh are both attempting to become the first team to win three consecutive road playoff games since the format changed in 1990. If the lines are any indication though, Sunday might be the “day of the dog” – as 3 and 3.5 point underdogs, the market strongly suggests that one of these teams could win outright.

We initially opened the Panthers as 6-point dogs in the NFC title game. The early money quickly pushed this down to +3.5 and we’re still taking more bets on Carolina by a ratio of 2:1. Some of our sharps took the Panthers at +6 but there’s no clear consensus between the wise guys at +3.5.

We opened the total at 43 and the public and sharps are again fighting over the number. At 43 we took twice as many bets on the over as on the under. The market as a whole has crept up, even though the sharps were mainly taking the under. On high profile games like this the public tends to line up on the over and the sharps will often take a contrarian position.

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BoxLiquid
01-19-2006, 04:01 PM
Just got into this sports betting thing..

It seems like pinnacle is making a fortune and have absolutely everything under control to give advice to all the sports bettors. Don't know how they do it..

NoChance
01-19-2006, 04:08 PM
Well, the lines have pretty much settled now. All this information is just information leading up to this point. Things often change and this is no indication of future betting. It's just interesting to read.

ChipWrecked
01-20-2006, 02:48 AM
[ QUOTE ]
Just got into this sports betting thing..

It seems like pinnacle is making a fortune and have absolutely everything under control to give advice to all the sports bettors. Don't know how they do it..

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know how they do it with football, but with basketball they move lines around like crazy before a tipoff.

You might be getting a better price, but a bad number if your timing is off.