Official Predict How Many People Enter WSOP ME Thread

[The Colossus]

How many people do you think will enter the main event? Reply with a number, and if you think it will be enough for discussion, then explain why. I seriously have no idea how many people will enter, though I feel like it will be less than last year. Maybe twoplustwo can send a polo to the person who guesses the closest to the actual number.

Peace,

Colossus

[LotsOfOuts69]

7190

First to respond, and with the correct #, imagine that.

[LondonBroil]

10,000

[pokergrader]

8501

[Ken_AA]

6400

Last year there was talk about capping at 6600 (I think) and they fell short of that. I think more then last year, but not by alot.

Ken

[zoobird]

Exactly 8,000.

[MicroBob]

the correct answer is 6822

[ShadowBJ21]

The numbers tripled from 2003 to 2004 (839 -> 2,576) and they doubled from 04 to 05 (5,691) so I expect an increase of about 50% --> 8,536 is my number

[scottc25]

7,821

7,422

[CutCreator]

While this is by no means a reflection of how all the casual poker players felt, alot of players at least that i know said they wouldnt do it again because its much too long.

with that and the tv rating falling, i predict a similar number to last year if not slightly less.

so my unscientific hunch of a number is 5785.

[zuluking]

[ QUOTE ]
the correct answer is 6822

[/ QUOTE ]

Bob nailed it, end of thread.

[JackOfSpeed]

A lot of sites and a lot of random companies are buying a lot of people in this year.

I go with 8,348

[gcDanno]

Last year, pokerstars alone sent about 1,100 players to the ME. This year, with about 4 weeks of tournies left to go, they have already registered 1,024. I expect them to get to 1,400 to 1,500 alone.

This year, there will be 7,500 plyrs, only 500 short of the "cap".

gc

[zoobird]

I'll give anyone 3:1 odds that it won't be over 8,100

[Rick Nebiolo]

[ QUOTE ]
Last year, pokerstars alone sent about 1,100 players to the ME. This year, with about 4 weeks of tournies left to go, they have already registered 1,024. I expect them to get to 1,400 to 1,500 alone.

This year, there will be 7,500 plyrs, only 500 short of the "cap".

[/ QUOTE ]

If this is true and we add in all the other new or expanding sites qualifying players why wouldn't they reach the cap (assuming the cap is 8000)?

I'll predict "cap" of 8000.

~ Rick

[Kevmath]

From an interview with the WSOP commissioner:

[ QUOTE ]
John: OK, now I put you on the spot – What will be the number of participants in the main event this year?

Jeffrey: As many as want to signup. I'm the only person here who won't predict. I think it's a dangerous game. We're prepared for as many as want to sign up. All are welcome. If we see some growth from last year, I'll be happy. If we're flat from last year, I'll be happy.

[/ QUOTE ]

http://www.pokernews.com/news/2006/6/business-poker-jeffrey-pollack-wsop-two.htm

[lozen]

7832

[mshalen]

Not even close. The actual number will be 135 but they will be multitabling under various assumed names.

[Bakes]

[ QUOTE ]
Not even close. The actual number will be 135 but they will be multitabling under various assumed names.

[/ QUOTE ]

I know I will be.

[Solitare]

I'm registered for each of the first four days.

[DVaut1]

Someone posted a link here where WSOP Commish. Pollack claimed there is categorically no "cap" on entrants, and that they can currently 'accomodate' up to 9000 players.

[Jurollo]

6,666

The 2nd sign of the apocolypse.
~Justin

[Jurollo]

[ QUOTE ]
Someone posted a link here where WSOP Commish. Pollack claimed there is categorically no "cap" on entrants, and that they can currently 'accomodate' up to 9000 players.

[/ QUOTE ]
So there is a 9,000 player cap?
~Justin

[DVaut1]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Someone posted a link here where WSOP Commish. Pollack claimed there is categorically no "cap" on entrants, and that they can currently 'accomodate' up to 9000 players.

[/ QUOTE ]
So there is a 9,000 player cap?
~Justin

[/ QUOTE ]

Let me find the link; Pollack denied there was any 'cap', said they're currently ready to accomodate 9k, but that they were capable of accomodating more...one moment please. /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

[DVaut1]

http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_news/blog_entry/116

"It is all over the poker community and the Internet that Harrah's has capped the number of players for the 2006 Championship at 8,000. That is wrong! Admittedly, even Card Player reported it wrong.

I personally confirmed with Jeffery Pollack, WSOP Commisioner, that not only is it not capped at 8,000, but they already have accommodations for at least 9,000. Furthermore if demand dictates, they will try to expand even more."

FWIW, Barry Shulman is the author of this "rumor", which I suspect isn't a rumor since he claims to have spoken with Pollack himself.

[OrcaDK]

The answer is 42.

[BigBiceps]

7,777

[Chuck_D]

My official guestimate is......

8,756 players.

I would also name them all and put them in order of finishing place but I just don't have the time right now!

[odellthurman]

8,444

[Black winter day]

9823

[wins_pot]

My guess is 5600. It's a two-week event --- that is going to limit the numbers.

my guesses for other televised events....

#players Tourney

2300 NL Hold'em $1500 6/27/06 6/29/06
1800 PL Hold'em $1500 6/28/06 6/30/06
1200 NL HE (6-handed) $2500 6/30/06 7/02/06
1200 NL Hold'em $2000 7/1/06 7/3/06
1400 NL HE (rebuys) $1000 7/8/06 7/10/06
350 PL Omaha $10000 7/9/06 7/11/06
1400 NL Hold'em $1000 7/10/06 7/12/06
80 HORSE $50000 7/12/06 7/14/06
1200 PL Hold'em $2500 7/19/06 7/21/06
1200 NL Hold'em $2000 7/21/06 7/23/0

brandon

[stan1541]

I will go with 7400, and tons of people upset that their day one had 190 more people than the other day ones or something like that.

[mlagoo]

eleventy billion

[Hotdog]

8888

[JackOfSpeed]

One Doller, Bob!!!111

[ QUOTE ]
eleventy billion

[/ QUOTE ]

Way too high.

[MyTurn2Raise]

6969


yeah...i still think that is funny

[KOTLP]

Bodog sportsbook (http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jsp) used to have an over/under running. Now they have a range bet, with the lowest payout of 4:1 on 7751 - 8000.

[surfinillini]

6500 and not one more...

[Uglyowl]

I wonder if the $50,000 HORSE tourney will take some of the press away from the actual $10,000 ME>

[gusmahler]

They estimated 6600, but only got 5619 last year.

That same ratio results in 6811, which is my Final Answer.

[Wongboy]

[ QUOTE ]
Not even close. The actual number will be 135 but they will be multitabling under various assumed names.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are thinking about the WCOOP.

[F0LD--IT]

8,420

[PokerFink]

7,983

Hellmuth finishes 1,203

Two recognizable players will make the final table. Not necessarily superstars, but people that are well known in the poker community.

A younger player (20's or early 30's) will win the championship.

[RoundTower]

[ QUOTE ]
Bodog sportsbook (http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jsp) used to have an over/under running. Now they have a range bet, with the lowest payout of 4:1 on 7751 - 8000.

[/ QUOTE ]
you should lump on 8000+ now, if not everyone knows 8000 is not the official cap.

[Ond]

twelftyseven.

[wisehandpoker]

9246

[bnlphan]

Did you all forget about Karl Ygborn????? Please raise all guesses by 1. /images/graemlins/blush.gif

[DrNo888]

7188

[Dynasty]

A computer screen at the Rio said they already had 2,196 entrants as of 6/23.

[JohnGroomsTD]

6,864. After the exaggerated predictions last year I think you can expect an increase in a little more than 1,000 people. I will be really surprised to see it get over 7,000

[KAknight]

8,000

[Sully]

7420

[dcviperboy]

9227

[smittymatt]

It's gonna be close to a million.

[skillz]

8000 +

[blockafor]

We will see a prize pool of $75,320,000!

[zoobird]

Sorry, I took that # already.

[river me please]

6750

[Mama Poker]

7777

[Lottery Larry]

9345

9365 if the buffet shuts down early


8725 if the semi-naked women from the online casino wander around again, as I heard they did last year

[Alan Goehring]

8158 (inluding approx. 4300 from online).

Each table Harrahs can fill (for four days) will generate $24k rake ---- they will find room to accomodate over 8000.

[TheRailbirds]

Alot

mike
TheRailbirds

[MrBrightside]

6425

[spaceman Bryce]

[ QUOTE ]
the correct answer is 6822

[/ QUOTE ]

I am predicting 6823

[Post-Oak]

Here's a comparison of the # of entrants from 2005 to 2006 for some other events:

Event/2006/2005
$1500 NLHE 2776 vs 2305
$5000 NLHE 622 vs 466
$2500 6-Max NLHE 824 vs 548

I think there will be over 7K in the ME, mainly because of the huge number of online qualifiers this year.

[Shrug]

7,162

[Willy]

9427 1/2 (that's on the assumption you have entered)
Do you need to know where to send my prize?

[lgas]

7,028

[Dynasty]

[ QUOTE ]
Here's a comparison of the # of entrants from 2005 to 2006 for some other events:

Event/2006/2005
$1500 NLHE 2776 vs 2305
$5000 NLHE 622 vs 466
$2500 6-Max NLHE 824 vs 548

I think there will be over 7K in the ME, mainly because of the huge number of online qualifiers this year.

[/ QUOTE ]

A year ago people were saying poker had hit its peak and that a downturn would certainly come this year. These three tournaments have increases from 20% to 50%.

I think we'll get the same claims that poker has peaked after this year's WSOP. But, I think they'll be proven wrong again in 2007.

[CharlieDontSurf]

7338

[GTL]

I love the smell of Napalm in the morning

[NYWalker]

quard:

either
7777
or
8888

The final winning hand will be a quard reflecting the number of entrants.

[cutesquirrel]

7539. It just needs to consist of my favourite figures... There´s nothing to be done about that /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[Easy E]

8753

[billyb]

7851

[Rottersod]

7107

[jeffman]

8135

[Daliman]

I'm going with the already-stated point relating everyine saying 2005 would EASILY hit the cap of 6600, yet missed by ~17%. Supposed cap this year is 8000, so I'm thinking 20% less is about right, maybe 6500, as I feel poker has already reached a certain saturation point, and a few people will be dissuaded by the prospect of playing for 4 days or so and not cashing, and a remote few even annoyed at the childish rules like f-bomb penalties.

Either way, as long as it doesn;t go over 8000, a Mod here is 1k poorer. /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[Zofox]

Is there a place online that has an reasonably updated count of the number of entries?

And I'm guessing that most of the online sites will hit this massively since they'll hold their money till the last minute.....

[LargeCents]

8555

[55Darryl]

[ QUOTE ]
How many people do you think will enter the main event?

[/ QUOTE ]

Capped.


RazzO

[birdytime]

8222

[ShadowBJ21]

[ QUOTE ]
The numbers tripled from 2003 to 2004 (839 -> 2,576) and they doubled from 04 to 05 (5,691) so I expect an increase of about 50% --> 8,536 is my number

[/ QUOTE ]

Looks like I was close as CP reports the official number at 8,532 - but I'm sure even that number will be beaten after Day 4 is over. As far as I know they still allow sign-ups for day 2,3 and 4

Shadow

[CharlieDontSurf]

[ QUOTE ]
I love the smell of Napalm in the morning

[/ QUOTE ]

who doesnt

[fsuplayer]

while registering for the ME last night at around 2am, the cashier told me they were already WELL over the 8k man mark and that they should have close to 12-13k entries!

now, this wasnt confirmed by any others, but i also dont know how he would screw up the figures that badly if he was indeed incorrect.

so just a rumor for now, but sick if true.

[pokerpunchout]

8673 Sounds about right to me. I read somewhere Cardplayer was predicting somewhere in the neigborhood of 8500

[Quicksilvre]

Exactly 8,717, because that number sounds right.

[buckslayer80]

In a new CP video Rich Belsky said that the latest numbers were right at 9200 people. This is getting ridiculous.

[JackOfSpeed]

[ QUOTE ]
In a new CP video Rich Belsky said that the latest numbers were right at 9200 people. This is getting ridiculous.

[/ QUOTE ]

10,000 people = $100 Million prize pool...who needs the Party Poker Monster, anyway!? /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[Kneel B4 Zod]

they're now saying 9500 - 10000 players. I know a guy who is alternative 300 something on day 4. winner to take about 12 million

[MicroBob]

holy crap.

[emKay]

[ QUOTE ]
The answer is 42.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here it is. There will also be 42 people at the final table. After the 42 winners are declared they will recieve $42 Mio each.

[Lottery Larry]

[ QUOTE ]
8725 if the semi-naked women from the online casino wander around again, as I heard they did last year

[/ QUOTE ]

This guess seems to be the closest, if the 1a and 1b counts are the average.

Do we have an official count yet?

[Kevmath]

Kind of hard to have one when people can still register tomorrow.

[Lottery Larry]

"Either way, as long as it doesn;t go over 8000, a Mod here is 1k poorer"

Doesn't look promising for you- there ARE four 1x days, right?