PDA

View Full Version : Representation Bias


jdefoe
05-30-2006, 01:27 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Take it further. All huge bluffs are huge bets, though (again) not all huge bets are huge bluffs. So when you put a calling station all-in for his stack on the river in no-limit Texas Hold 'em, he probably does more thinking than good players are inclined to give him credit for. He compares the information he has: "This guy is making a huge bet." Then no matter what his cards, the calling station will ask, "Is he bluffing?" But whereas the good player will think about the entire logic of the hand and the tendencies of his opponent, the calling station simply asks, "Does this look like a bluff?" The answer, inevitably, is yes.

[/ QUOTE ]

I used to be like this, deduce if something was a bluff by the size of the bet. but then this maniac started overbetting his good hands on purpose to make it seem like a bluff, and I learned that he eventually did it on purpose.

To deduce if someone is bluffing, does the good player evaluate play of their opponents on every street and try to find out their equity vs a range of hands, then deduce if they are beaten?

Copernicus
05-30-2006, 08:22 PM
"To deduce if someone is bluffing, does the good player evaluate play of their opponents on every street and try to find out their equity vs a range of hands, then deduce if they are beaten? "

Short answer : yes Longer answer: A good player will look for consistency of the "story" the raiser has told with the huge bet vs other streets, and, if he knows the bettor well enough,consistency with prior actions.